Modelling PRSP II & Poverty Reduction in Mozambique Local Development: Econometric Analysis of Factors Determining Millennium Development Goals by 2015

This paper discusses the various factors affecting the poverty alleviation efforts in Mozambique, and tries to estimate their magnitude using regression analysis.

The document discusses the following aspects:

• The role to be played by the Government and development partners in poverty alleviation;
• Dependence of poverty reduction strategies on localization of development initiatives;
• Decentralization of localized development and its role in alleviating poverty;
• The challenges and bottlenecks associated with decentralization;
• Advancement of local community to assist localized development;
• Creation of a conducive environment to assist local development in the country;
• Definition of poverty and ways to measures poverty.

The document further highlights the conceptual and analytical framework used in the paper along with various variables assumed for regression analysis. It also explains the following:

• Data and sampling methodology used in the model;
• Estimative results for the regression analysis;
• Simulation used in the model and poverty predictions by 2015 on the basis of model.

The document concludes by discussing the various aspects related to governance in the country and its impact on alleviating poverty.