Paper

Migration and Remittances: A New Approach with Endogenous Exchange Rates and the Possibility of Multiple Equilibria

A model for the endogenous determination of exchange rates
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This paper argues that people may voluntarily choose migration to accept wages lower than those in one's own country without being triggered by misperception. It states that:

  • A migrant would have an incentive to tolerate extremely low real wages in the host country, if the remittances sent back home translate into amounts of consumption favorable enough to compensate;
  • When remittances serve as the channel through which consumption is allocated between a migrant and her family, prevailing exchange rate shifts around the worker's utility gain from migration;
  • The number of migrants and the amount of hard currencies they send home could affect exchange rates.

The paper:

  • Incorporates this two-way interaction to endogenously determine the exchange rates with the number of migrants;
  • Focuses on concurrent remittances made to family as the main motivation to migrate rather than inter-temporal optimization of individual utility;
  • Contributes to understanding migration in relation with important macro economic variables;
  • Demonstrates the possibility of multiple equilibria to suggest an unusual route through which migration can be regulated.

The paper concludes with the following policy implications:

  • Policies motivated by philanthropic ideas, without an analysis of the actual circumstances, may bring about unintended and unwanted results;
  • The government would have to improve its fiscal stance to reduce migration.

About this Publication

By Ku, H.
Published